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Red97
252222.8
293042.0
418018.2
Blue34
746116.1
82489.7
189916.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions894302060801001201409734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.8
37.638.4
Auto11.8
Teleop21.8
End8.3
red by 25.5
1899
#21
16.51.1
18.917.8
Auto6.9
Teleop5.4
End4.1
Second
22.80.8
25.326.1
Auto7.7
Teleop6.2
End8.9
red by 6.8
7461
#22
16.11.1
17.616.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.1
End2.6
Third
18.20.8
14.515.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.0
End4.9
red by 8.5
8248
#13
9.71.1
9.98.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsEarned31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed