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Red37
82489.7
408929.5
446911.1
Blue21
49185.8
635016.1
241214.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625902040801003721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.4
31.029.6
Auto8.6
Teleop11.5
End9.4
red by 13.3
6350
#28
16.12.3
23.220.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End8.8
Second
4469
#23
11.11.4
14.913.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 3.5
2412
#24
14.62.3
23.521.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Third
8248
#13
9.71.4
11.910.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.5
red by 3.9
4918
#26
5.82.3
9.26.9
Auto3.2
Teleop0.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsMissed