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Red36
558811.8
59412.2
293042.0
Blue25
9487.7
321821.5
59379.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536201001502003625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.0
40.039.0
Auto11.8
Teleop21.8
End8.3
red by 20.5
3218
#12
21.52.1
28.426.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End11.1
Second
5588
#19
11.81.0
10.49.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End2.6
red by 2.8
5937
#17
9.02.1
13.911.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End2.0
Third
5941
#18
2.21.0
0.8-0.2
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.9
End2.3
blue by 5.6
948
#27
7.72.1
14.812.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed69%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsMissed