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Red60
129417.4
49231.6
418018.2
Blue40
378618.5
189916.5
413114.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7555020401001201406040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#4
31.60.5
26.826.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.9
red by 13.1
3786
#16
18.51.2
15.414.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Second
18.20.5
18.718.2
Auto6.4
Teleop7.0
End4.9
red by 1.7
1899
#21
16.51.2
25.424.2
Auto6.9
Teleop5.4
End4.1
Third
1294
#14
17.40.5
22.221.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End7.0
red by 2.7
14.71.2
13.412.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed