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Red82
299025.9
36037.9
177822.7
Blue102
255722.0
366334.8
204650.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871185010015020082102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#4
37.90.1
37.136.9
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End2.2
blue by 12.3
50.20.5
45.344.8
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End11.4
Second
25.90.1
26.526.3
Auto8.3
Teleop8.3
End9.4
blue by 8.9
3663
#10
34.80.5
34.634.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.4
End8.3
Third
1778
#16
22.70.1
20.620.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.2
End3.7
red by 0.7
22.00.5
25.625.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned