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Red89
142513.2
291066.6
46828.7
Blue49
491139.4
9487.2
252219.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877940601001208949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.60.0
62.062.0
Auto17.4
Teleop36.7
End12.5
red by 27.2
39.41.6
39.437.8
Auto7.8
Teleop22.1
End9.5
Second
1425
#17
13.20.0
10.710.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End3.6
blue by 5.8
2522
#20
19.01.6
23.421.7
Auto8.9
Teleop3.6
End6.5
Third
4682
#21
8.70.0
8.58.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End2.1
red by 1.5
948
#25
7.21.6
10.69.0
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
74%Cargo oddsEarned55%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsMissed