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Red123
189917.4
36037.9
291066.6
Blue48
177822.7
99913.1
594110.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411605010020025012348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.60.5
62.062.5
Auto17.4
Teleop36.7
End12.5
red by 43.8
1778
#16
22.70.4
20.420.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.2
End3.7
Second
360
#4
37.90.5
36.937.4
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End2.2
red by 27.7
5941
#15
10.20.4
6.57.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.9
End2.9
Third
1899
#12
17.40.5
16.617.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End4.1
red by 14.2
9991
#24
3.10.7
6.57.2
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed