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Red52
293040.8
46828.7
635016.7
Blue112
204650.2
491139.4
99978.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719605015052112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.81.2
42.841.6
Auto13.5
Teleop21.2
End6.1
blue by 9.4
50.21.3
44.846.1
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End11.4
Second
6350
#11
16.71.2
19.017.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End9.2
blue by 22.7
39.41.3
37.839.1
Auto7.8
Teleop22.1
End9.5
Third
4682
#21
8.71.2
8.57.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End2.1
red by 0.7
9997
#23
8.01.9
9.611.5
Auto1.9
Teleop5.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsMissed70%Hangar oddsEarned