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Red85
491139.4
177822.7
639013.6
Blue49
635016.7
252219.0
129417.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805302040601001208549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#5DQ
39.40.6
39.139.8
Auto7.8
Teleop22.1
End9.5
red by 20.3
2522
#20
19.00.8
20.519.7
Auto8.9
Teleop3.6
End6.5
Second
1778
#16
22.70.6
19.620.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.2
End3.7
red by 5.6
1294
#19
17.10.8
14.814.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Third
6390
#14
13.60.6
12.513.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.5
End4.6
blue by 3.1
6350
#11
16.70.8
17.817.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsEarned