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Red22
99913.1
9487.2
204650.2
Blue64
366334.8
99926.9
189917.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64720501001502264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.22.8
47.144.3
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End11.4
red by 15.4
3663
#10
34.80.2
34.334.5
Auto9.1
Teleop17.4
End8.3
Second
948
#25
7.22.8
9.76.9
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.3
End4.8
blue by 10.2
1899
#12
17.40.2
17.818.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End4.1
Third
9991
#24
3.13.7
7.03.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End1.0
blue by 3.7
9992
#18
6.90.3
8.68.9
Auto1.2
Teleop2.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned