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Red62
321827.8
48822.8
468211.1
Blue46
198319.9
420512.2
298015.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7048204060801001206246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.0
28.228.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End12.0
red by 8.0
1983
#18
19.90.3
20.320.0
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End3.6
Second
488
#3
22.80.0
23.123.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End12.0
red by 7.8
2980
#15
15.00.2
15.415.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Third
4682
#22
11.10.0
11.411.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End3.1
blue by 1.1
4205
#11
12.20.2
12.512.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End5.2