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Red80
321827.8
48822.8
468211.1
Blue42
198319.9
420512.2
298015.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7048204060801008042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.4
28.128.6
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End12.0
red by 8.0
1983
#18
19.90.1
20.019.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End3.6
Second
488
#3
22.80.4
23.123.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End12.0
red by 7.8
2980
#15
15.00.1
15.115.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Third
4682
#22
11.10.4
11.411.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End3.1
blue by 1.1
4205
#11
12.20.1
12.312.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End5.2