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Red32
420512.2
298015.0
94811.0
Blue78
49228.2
430910.3
582730.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31490204060803278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2980
#15
15.00.0
12.012.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 15.5
30.52.3
13.415.7
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End4.8
Second
4205
#11
12.20.0
7.57.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End5.2
blue by 16.0
492
#4
28.22.3
19.621.9
Auto6.4
Teleop15.4
End6.4
Third
948
#31
11.00.1
11.912.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
red by 0.7
4309
#29
10.32.3
10.512.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsEarned