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Red59
189924.0
368112.9
29295.6
Blue24
131822.3
177820.4
457910.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30450204060805924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.01.9
15.817.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.6
End4.2
red by 1.8
1318
#10
22.31.8
13.912.1
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End6.1
Second
3681
#19
12.91.9
7.59.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End4.6
blue by 7.5
20.41.1
17.316.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End2.7
Third
2929
#30
5.63.2
6.69.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.3
blue by 5.0
4579
#26
10.61.8
9.37.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed