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Red41
446913.3
304913.5
56837.6
Blue56
292816.9
48822.8
129414.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34341020304050604156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3049
#25
13.51.1
8.49.5
Auto6.7
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 9.3
488
#3
22.82.6
15.618.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End12.0
Second
4469
#12
13.31.1
13.514.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 3.6
2928
#13
16.91.6
8.29.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End8.0
Third
5683
#27
7.61.1
9.410.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End-0.3
blue by 7.2
1294
#17
14.82.6
8.911.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned