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Red69
558812.4
582730.5
298015.0
Blue32
76279.6
321827.8
378613.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393401020506070806932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.52.2
15.717.9
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End4.8
red by 2.7
27.80.5
13.613.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End12.0
Second
2980
#15
15.02.2
12.014.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.7
red by 1.5
3786
#16
13.50.5
9.38.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
5588
#14
12.42.2
8.210.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
red by 2.8
7627
#24
9.60.3
9.39.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsEarned18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed