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Red29
457910.6
198319.9
446913.3
Blue46
241215.9
94811.0
48822.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444902060802946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#18
19.91.4
17.015.6
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End3.6
blue by 2.9
488
#3
22.80.4
21.020.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End12.0
Second
4469
#12
13.31.4
13.612.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 2.5
2412
#21
15.90.2
11.511.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Third
4579
#26
10.61.4
11.19.7
Auto2.2
Teleop6.1
End2.4
blue by 0.4
948
#31
11.00.4
13.012.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed