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Red50
451220.9
468211.1
189924.0
Blue41
430910.3
304913.5
420512.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54320204060805041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.1
19.619.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.6
End4.2
red by 10.5
3049
#25
13.50.9
11.710.8
Auto6.7
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Second
20.90.1
19.419.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End4.4
red by 8.7
4205
#11
12.20.5
9.18.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End5.2
Third
4682
#22
11.10.1
9.19.3
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End3.1
red by 0.8
4309
#29
10.30.5
12.311.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed