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Red42
558812.4
417313.0
378613.5
Blue60
56837.6
129414.8
49228.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3356204060801004260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3786
#16
13.50.9
9.310.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 14.7
492
#4
28.20.4
25.225.7
Auto6.4
Teleop15.4
End6.4
Second
4173
#23
13.00.5
13.013.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End4.2
blue by 1.8
1294
#17
14.80.7
11.011.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End4.7
Third
5588
#14
12.40.5
11.612.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
red by 4.8
5683
#27
7.60.7
13.013.8
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
4%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed