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Red77
131822.3
292816.9
321827.8
Blue33
177820.4
94811.0
446913.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47473040506070807733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.83.3
17.020.3
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End12.0
red by 7.4
20.40.8
19.718.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End2.7
Second
1318
#10
22.33.3
14.717.9
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End6.1
red by 8.9
4469
#12
13.31.3
12.210.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Third
2928
#13
16.92.0
11.713.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End8.0
red by 5.9
948
#31
11.01.3
12.611.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed