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Red84
451220.9
582730.5
420512.2
Blue50
76279.6
198319.9
418021.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574320801008450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.52.2
23.425.6
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End4.8
red by 9.4
21.10.3
17.217.4
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End6.0
Second
20.92.2
19.521.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End4.4
red by 1.0
1983
#18
19.90.4
15.616.0
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End3.6
Third
4205
#11
12.22.2
8.610.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End5.2
red by 2.6
7627
#24
9.60.3
9.49.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsEarned36%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed