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Red30
29295.6
56837.6
48822.8
Blue37
558812.4
177820.4
9496.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47411020306070803037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#3
22.81.3
21.720.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End12.0
red by 2.4
20.40.2
18.918.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End2.7
Second
5683
#27
7.61.3
13.812.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End-0.3
blue by 4.8
5588
#14
12.40.2
12.212.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Third
2929
#30
5.61.4
7.56.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.3
blue by 1.0
949
#28
6.60.2
8.27.9
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed38%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed