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Red35
9496.6
131822.3
368112.9
Blue57
304913.5
418021.1
417313.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4149102030607080903557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#10
22.30.4
21.320.9
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End6.1
red by 1.1
21.10.5
18.819.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End6.0
Second
3681
#19
12.90.3
12.011.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End4.6
blue by 0.5
3049
#25
13.50.7
13.414.1
Auto6.7
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Third
949
#28
6.60.4
6.56.1
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End1.7
blue by 6.4
4173
#23
13.00.5
13.213.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed44%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsEarned