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Red40
468211.1
298015.0
430910.3
Blue64
582730.5
29295.6
378613.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424820306070804064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2980
#15
15.00.0
16.016.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 15.5
30.51.3
28.029.4
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End4.8
Second
4682
#22
11.10.0
11.811.8
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End3.1
blue by 2.4
3786
#16
13.51.6
10.512.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
4309
#29
10.30.0
12.012.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.1
red by 4.8
2929
#30
5.61.6
5.47.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed