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Red77
378613.5
418021.1
131822.3
Blue72
292816.9
582730.5
198319.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5372204060801001207772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#10
22.31.5
20.922.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End6.1
blue by 8.3
30.50.5
29.429.8
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End4.8
Second
21.11.4
19.320.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End6.0
red by 1.3
1983
#18
19.90.6
19.720.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End3.6
Third
3786
#16
13.51.5
12.213.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 3.4
2928
#13
16.90.5
15.916.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned