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Red24
241215.9
446913.3
417313.0
Blue35
304913.5
468211.1
558812.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503902060801002435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#21
15.91.4
16.615.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End4.3
red by 2.4
3049
#25
13.50.6
14.113.5
Auto6.7
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Second
4469
#12
13.31.8
15.313.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 0.9
5588
#14
12.40.5
12.211.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Third
4173
#23
13.01.4
13.712.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End4.2
red by 1.9
4682
#22
11.10.5
11.811.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed