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Red84
94811.0
491516.8
491139.8
Blue61
420512.2
321827.8
368112.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6954204060801001208461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.1
38.039.1
Auto11.9
Teleop19.2
End8.7
red by 12.0
27.80.3
28.528.2
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End12.0
Second
4915
#20
16.81.2
15.016.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 3.8
3681
#19
12.90.3
11.711.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End4.6
Third
948
#31
11.01.2
10.211.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
blue by 1.2
4205
#11
12.20.3
12.812.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed62%Hangar oddsEarned