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Red47
321827.8
417313.0
129414.8
Blue47
198319.9
241215.9
304913.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3636303540454747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End12.0
red by 8.0
1983
#18
19.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End3.6
Second
1294
#17
14.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End4.7
blue by 1.1
2412
#21
15.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Third
4173
#23
13.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End4.2
blue by 0.5
3049
#25
13.5
Auto6.7
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed