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Red15
491516.8
9496.6
292816.9
Blue41
29295.6
446913.3
558812.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292815202535401541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#13
16.91.1
9.38.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End8.0
red by 3.6
4469
#12
13.30.7
12.813.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Second
4915
#20
16.81.8
10.58.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 4.4
5588
#14
12.40.4
7.78.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Third
949
#28
6.61.8
7.55.7
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End1.7
red by 1.0
2929
#30
5.60.7
5.96.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed