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Red5
32195.7
32685.7
46828.6
Blue9
36816.9
29034.5
55886.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21190103040506059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4682
#17
8.61.6
6.65.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End2.6
red by 1.8
3681
#20
6.91.0
5.84.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End3.3
Second
3219
#30
5.71.6
4.83.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
blue by 1.1
5588
#29
6.71.0
7.36.3
Auto1.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Third
3268
#31
5.71.6
8.16.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End1.2
red by 1.1
2903
#23
4.51.0
4.73.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed