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Red78
177815.8
291046.5
451215.0
Blue37
298011.5
635010.7
49218.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5737020801001207837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.53.0
31.534.5
Auto14.8
Teleop23.8
End7.9
red by 27.9
492
#21
18.60.0
18.018.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End3.4
Second
1778
#13
15.83.0
11.514.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.9
End2.3
red by 4.3
2980
#10
11.50.0
10.810.7
Auto1.6
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Third
15.03.0
8.311.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End6.9
red by 4.3
6350
#15
10.70.0
8.58.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed