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Red32
55886.7
582713.1
746125.7
Blue18
189915.9
46828.6
29288.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3228010204050603218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.6
12.011.4
Auto7.9
Teleop14.1
End3.7
red by 9.7
15.91.8
12.610.8
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End3.5
Second
13.10.6
11.210.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.8
red by 4.2
2928
#33
8.91.8
8.97.1
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End4.2
Third
5588
#29
6.70.6
6.35.7
Auto1.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 1.9
4682
#17
8.61.8
5.03.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed