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Red82
762710.1
291046.5
635010.7
Blue42
252221.7
177815.8
582713.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56512040801008242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.52.5
37.840.3
Auto14.8
Teleop23.8
End7.9
red by 24.8
21.71.0
22.221.1
Auto8.7
Teleop9.3
End3.7
Second
6350
#15
10.72.3
6.68.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End4.5
blue by 5.1
1778
#13
15.80.9
14.413.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.9
End2.3
Third
7627
#12
10.12.5
7.810.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End1.9
blue by 3.0
13.10.9
12.011.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned49%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed