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Red6
824810.6
29034.5
32685.7
Blue79
746125.7
451215.0
189915.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20520406080100679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8248
#14
10.61.5
11.19.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End4.1
blue by 15.1
25.72.0
20.722.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.1
End3.7
Second
3268
#31
5.71.5
7.25.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End1.2
blue by 10.3
15.92.0
13.015.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End3.5
Third
2903
#23
4.51.5
4.83.3
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
blue by 10.5
15.02.0
10.912.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed52%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned