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Red16
298011.5
42056.4
366318.1
Blue29
46828.6
59416.1
293023.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50402060801629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#19
18.12.8
21.318.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.3
End1.8
blue by 4.9
23.00.9
19.919.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End10.2
Second
2980
#10
11.52.8
13.110.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.5
End2.3
red by 2.8
4682
#17
8.60.9
11.510.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End2.6
Third
4205
#32
6.42.6
11.08.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End1.8
red by 0.3
5941
#27
6.10.9
7.26.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
57%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsMissed