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Red90
291046.5
49218.6
252221.7
Blue10
36816.9
80513.7
366318.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions992304060801201401609010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.5
43.444.0
Auto14.8
Teleop23.8
End7.9
red by 28.4
3663
#19
18.11.9
18.516.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.3
End1.8
Second
21.70.5
21.321.9
Auto8.7
Teleop9.3
End3.7
red by 14.8
3681
#20
6.91.9
7.75.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End3.3
Third
492
#21
18.60.5
18.619.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End3.4
red by 14.9
8051
#18
3.71.7
5.03.3
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed