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Red34
189915.9
32685.7
635010.7
Blue21
307014.3
55886.7
80323.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322701020405060703421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.4
15.015.3
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End3.5
red by 1.7
3070
#16
14.30.5
13.713.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.1
End2.9
Second
6350
#15
10.70.4
8.99.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End4.5
red by 4.0
5588
#29
6.70.4
7.67.2
Auto1.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Third
3268
#31
5.70.4
5.76.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End1.2
red by 1.8
8032
#28
3.90.5
4.74.3
Auto1.2
Teleop0.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed