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Red25
49218.6
55886.7
29288.9
Blue26
307014.3
29034.5
80513.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4019010305060702526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#21
18.61.0
19.218.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End3.4
red by 4.4
3070
#16
14.30.4
13.313.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.1
End2.9
Second
2928
#33
8.91.0
8.67.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End4.2
red by 4.4
2903
#23
4.50.4
4.24.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Third
5588
#29
6.71.0
7.26.2
Auto1.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
red by 3.0
8051
#18
3.70.4
3.33.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed