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Red46
824810.6
36816.9
635010.7
Blue51
298011.5
252221.7
430911.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234901030406070804651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6350
#15
10.70.9
9.210.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End4.5
blue by 11.0
21.70.3
21.922.2
Auto8.7
Teleop9.3
End3.7
Second
8248
#14
10.60.9
10.111.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End4.1
blue by 0.9
4309
#22
11.50.3
9.710.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End2.7
Third
3681
#20
6.91.0
5.86.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End3.3
blue by 4.6
2980
#10
11.50.4
10.911.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed53%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsEarned