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Red84
366328.7
408941.3
85325.5
Blue84
683130.2
214737.2
60768.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7980506070901001101208484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.3
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End5.7
red by 4.0
37.2
Auto9.1
Teleop21.9
End6.2
Second
28.7
Auto4.5
Teleop18.5
End5.6
blue by 1.5
30.2
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End4.8
Third
8532
#18
5.5
Auto1.3
Teleop2.6
End1.6
blue by 2.6
6076
#12
8.1
Auto6.4
Teleop2.9
End-1.2