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Red96
366328.7
408941.3
85325.5
Blue85
683130.2
214737.2
60768.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7980506070901001109685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.5
40.841.3
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End5.7
red by 4.0
37.20.2
37.037.2
Auto9.1
Teleop21.9
End6.2
Second
28.70.5
28.228.7
Auto4.5
Teleop18.5
End5.6
blue by 1.5
30.20.2
30.030.2
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End4.8
Third
8532
#18
5.50.5
5.05.5
Auto1.3
Teleop2.6
End1.6
blue by 2.6
6076
#12
8.10.2
7.98.1
Auto6.4
Teleop2.9
End-1.2