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Red60
366328.7
29036.8
292616.9
Blue42
451323.3
646512.5
406116.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374602060801006042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.71.4
20.822.2
Auto4.5
Teleop18.5
End5.6
red by 5.4
23.30.3
17.116.8
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End6.0
Second
16.91.4
11.212.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.2
red by 0.3
4061
#11
16.60.3
15.715.4
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End4.1
Third
2903
#16
6.81.4
3.64.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.5
End1.4
blue by 5.7
6465
#10
12.50.3
9.59.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsEarned