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Red32
683130.2
85325.5
38768.8
Blue71
412518.0
159523.5
214737.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387002060801001203271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.5
21.721.1
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End4.8
blue by 7.0
37.20.1
28.828.9
Auto9.1
Teleop21.9
End6.2
Second
3876
#15
8.80.5
11.611.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.1
blue by 14.6
23.50.1
20.220.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End4.6
Third
8532
#18
5.50.5
6.66.1
Auto1.3
Teleop2.6
End1.6
blue by 12.5
18.00.1
12.512.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed