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Red5
498011.1
37128.6
406116.6
Blue58
646512.5
292616.9
408941.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35690206080100120140558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#11
16.62.2
17.915.7
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End4.1
blue by 24.7
41.30.1
39.239.0
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End5.7
Second
4980
#13
11.12.2
12.610.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 5.8
16.90.1
11.411.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.2
Third
3712
#19
8.63.6
7.13.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End0.7
blue by 3.9
6465
#10
12.50.1
9.69.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed