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Red40
469216.3
85325.5
412518.0
Blue100
408941.3
646512.5
592020.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19580408010040100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.01.2
9.510.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.5
blue by 23.2
41.33.7
33.637.3
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End5.7
Second
4692
#14
16.31.2
7.58.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End1.9
blue by 3.7
20.03.4
9.312.7
Auto6.4
Teleop3.5
End10.2
Third
8532
#18
5.51.2
5.46.5
Auto1.3
Teleop2.6
End1.6
blue by 7.0
6465
#10
12.53.4
6.59.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsEarned