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Red79
214737.2
498011.1
366328.7
Blue38
292616.9
41046.1
159523.5
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653620801007938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.5
27.629.0
Auto9.1
Teleop21.9
End6.2
red by 13.8
23.50.5
21.020.4
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End4.6
Second
28.71.6
18.119.7
Auto4.5
Teleop18.5
End5.6
red by 11.8
16.90.5
10.610.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.2
Third
4980
#13
11.11.5
11.412.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.5
red by 5.0
4104
#17
6.10.5
6.25.6
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed