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Red40
37128.6
38768.8
412518.0
Blue31
60768.1
406116.6
41046.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36260102030405060704031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.5
15.215.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.5
red by 1.4
4061
#11
16.60.4
14.514.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End4.1
Second
3876
#15
8.80.5
10.110.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.1
red by 0.7
6076
#12
8.10.4
5.14.6
Auto6.4
Teleop2.9
End-1.2
Third
3712
#19
8.60.8
7.48.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End0.7
red by 2.5
4104
#17
6.10.4
6.25.7
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed