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Red85
683130.2
366328.7
646512.5
Blue73
592020.0
469216.3
292616.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63462040801008573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.9
23.325.2
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End4.8
red by 10.2
20.01.8
16.017.9
Auto6.4
Teleop3.5
End10.2
Second
28.71.9
24.526.4
Auto4.5
Teleop18.5
End5.6
red by 11.8
16.91.8
15.517.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.2
Third
6465
#10
12.51.9
8.910.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.5
blue by 3.8
4692
#14
16.31.8
13.715.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsEarned