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Red142
293033.6
291055.6
85325.4
Blue44
214727.6
746122.7
41046.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1025715014244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.0
54.055.0
Auto16.4
Teleop30.2
End8.9
red by 28.0
27.60.3
28.528.2
Auto6.8
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Second
33.61.0
32.033.0
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End11.3
red by 10.9
22.70.3
23.723.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Third
8532
#21
5.41.0
3.84.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End1.3
blue by 0.8
4104
#16
6.20.3
7.16.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1