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Red137
293033.6
291055.6
85325.4
Blue38
214727.6
746122.7
41046.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1065515020013738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.6
55.055.6
Auto16.4
Teleop30.2
End8.9
red by 28.0
27.60.6
28.227.6
Auto6.8
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Second
33.60.6
33.033.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End11.3
red by 10.9
22.70.6
23.422.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Third
8532
#21
5.40.6
4.75.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End1.3
blue by 0.8
4104
#16
6.20.6
6.86.2
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1